MBS = Mohammed Bin Salman. IRI = Islamic Republic of Iran.

MBS has created the so-called “Saudi Tiger Squad” to carry out purges and tighten his grip on power, while Jordan’s King Abdullah faces a new directive to step down, along with the looming threat of betraying Palestine.

For almost a century, Saudi Arabia and Jordan maintained stability through an unspoken agreement between rulers and their people, giving leaders unquestioned authority to govern. But this balance began to crumble with the start of the American-led war on IRI, exposing the deal as little more than an expensive illusion crafted by foreign imperial forces.

After the assassination of their leader, Khamenei, the IRGC launched a massive counterattack that caught the leadership of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the Gulf states, and their allies, including the United States, completely off guard.

The scale of the impact was clear at American bases in Saudi Arabia and Jordan, where IRI systematically dismantled defenses by taking out billion-dollar radar systems and AWACS, bombing refineries, and shooting down advanced fighter jets along with refueling planes.

With these moves, Iran signaled to both other nations and the Gulf states that the era of Western-backed air superiority—and the security it brought—was coming to an end.

By closing off the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, the IRI not only disrupted global markets but also brought the Kingdom to a halt. In response, the country’s two main power centers—the tribes and the clergy—moved in to reclaim their influence.

The status and rules of MBS.

MBS’s grip on power is starting to meet pushback across the Kingdom. In the North and Central areas, the Shammar and Anizzah tribes have closed off the borders to Jordan and Iraq. Down South, tribal elders have made their own “non-aggression” pacts with the Houthis to avoid getting caught up in actions by the USA and ZI.

Regardless of religion, the tribes made it clear that Riyadh no longer had permission to govern, resulting in the loss of tribal support and the suspension of military operations.

The Kingdom’s three main forces—the Saudi Arabian National Guard, the Regular Army, and the Royal Guard—have traditionally operated on their own. However, a recent decree has brought them together under one command, effectively sidelining the Crown Prince.

Mutiny and defiance have erupted across all three guard factions, stripping MBS of domestic control and handing governing authority back to the tribes and religious leaders.

Backing this stand-down is the Regular Army, a skilled force of about 150,000 active soldiers stationed in military cities ranging from Tabuk to Abha.

Religious, tribal, and military isolation is no longer just about physical separation; it’s now a matter of the spirit as well. In the delicate balance of the Saudi state, the most telling sign of a fractured connection isn’t a protest in the streets, but the silence that echoes from the pulpits.

With Hajj fast approaching, quiet resistance is taking shape as many imams have started a silent protest by leaving out the customary prayers for the leadership. In the local parlance of the Peninsula, this absence speaks volumes, signaling that the “soil” has decisively cut its ties to the throne.

MBS has become an isolated figure, with his rule appearing to come to an end. Separated from the tribes that control the cities, the military guarding key resources, and the clergy that once legitimized his power, all now seem to be gearing up for a revolution expected during Zilhajj, when millions gather in Mecca and Medina for the Hajj pilgrimage.

For the struggling kingdom of Saud, having placed trust in a paper tiger rather than the Almighty, the future feels uncertain as the religious and cultural foundations that once supported their rule have come undone.

The change of leadership in Abdullah’s Hashemite Kingdom.

The King once ensured the tribes’ safety in return for their loyalty, but now, with the war against IRI, the age-old alliance between the Palace and the tribes is on the brink of falling apart.

​The collapse became official last Friday (Jummah) when the unified tribal councils, supported by the country’s four major tribes—Bani Hassan, Bani Sakher, Howeitat, and Bani Ahmad—sent a formal letter to King Abdullah. In it, they declared his mandate over and called on him to step aside in favor of his half-brother, Prince Hamzah.

For the tribal council, picking a new King and overhauling a system that had shaped Jordan for more than forty years wasn’t about King Abdullah’s personal lifestyle. It was about his choice to step away from his people, his homeland, his faith, and the social contract that bound them together.

The four tribes had long been loyal, and the King had ensured their security while honoring the land’s sanctity. But when he started putting foreign military interests ahead of the people’s safety by allowing American bases in Jordan, that trust was broken.

The betrayal of Palestine has left the king weakened, as in Jordan the military, responsible for the nation’s security, is made up of the very tribes now defying his authority.

The tribal councils are calling on the King to step down, while claiming it’s not a political gesture. They command the Special Royal Guard, an elite unit of 25,000 members, traditionally composed of non-Arab minorities such as the Circassians to ensure loyalty to the crown.

Meanwhile, the Jordanian Arab Army, a regular force of 115,000 soldiers, is made up of sons from the same tribes now demanding the King’s removal.

For the King, these demands could signal the start of his downfall. His palace guards, devoted members of the Bani Sakher and Bani Ahmad tribes, might not stand by to protect the Kingdom if Hamza, his half-brother, were to seize power.

The system as we know it has crumbled, along with the Western-led policies that have shaped this nation for decades. Rumor has it that the CIA and Mossad are in discussions, either to prevent the collapse of Saudi Arabia and the Hashemite Kingdom or to push for a leadership change that could spark sectarian conflict and pave the way for the creation of Greater Israel.

To Be Continued!