Upshur County and Contiguous Counties Population Projections (2020-2060)

By Editor | October 1, 2025 |

By Claude AI

Upshur County and its contiguous counties. Upshur County is in East Texas, and its bordering counties are:

Upshur County (the center county)
Camp County (to the south)
Wood County (to the west)
Smith County (to the southwest)
Gregg County (to the south-southeast)
Harrison County (to the east)
Marion County (to the northeast)
Morris County (to the north)

Here are the population projections for Upshur County and its surrounding contiguous counties:

Upshur County and Contiguous Counties Population Projections (2020-2060)

County	2020	2030	2040	2050	2060
Upshur	41,040	45,075	46,658	47,398	47,630
Camp	12,430	13,298	13,373	13,150	12,858
Gregg	124,316	127,049	126,733	125,245	123,274
Harrison	68,807	72,934	75,595	77,204	78,149
Marion	9,869	9,436	8,807	8,057	7,466
Morris	11,973	11,656	10,747	9,770	8,990
Smith	234,203	261,472	279,971	295,186	308,536
Wood	45,038	50,865	54,126	57,281	61,205

Key Observations:

Upshur County is projected to grow from 41,040 in 2020 to 47,630 by 2060 Texas Population Projections Program, showing steady growth throughout the projection period.

Smith County (which includes Tyler) is the largest county in the region and shows the strongest growth trajectory.
Harrison and Wood counties also show consistent growth patterns.
Marion and Morris counties are projected to decline in population over this period.
Gregg County (which includes Longview) shows slight decline after peaking around 2030.

These projections are based on the mid-migration scenario, which is recommended for most purposes.

Texas Demographic Center released its updated county-level population projections on September 30, 2025. The data provides detailed projections of Texas’ residential population by age, sex, and race/ethnicity for each year from 2020 to 2060 across all counties in Texas.

These projections are be available under multiple migration scenarios.

Join our webinar!

To accompany the release, TDC will host a webinar on October 22, 2025 to walk users through the new data and methodology. This event will be a valuable opportunity to engage with the projections data and explore their implications for Texas communities.