Drought Information Statement
Dec 06, 2012 | 842 views | 1 1 comments | 4 4 recommendations | email to a friend | print

Drought Information Statement 

Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

  

...MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL THROUGHOUT NOVEMBER HAS RESULTED IN A

DETERIORATION OF DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF THE FOUR STATE

REGION...

 

SYNOPSIS...

 

MUCH BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL WAS OBSERVED ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE

FOUR STATE REGION DURING NOVEMBER...WHICH FOLLOWED THE TREND THAT

BEGAN DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF OCTOBER. ONLY TWO TO FIVE

RAIN DAYS WERE OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH...WITH MOST OF THESE DAYS

RECORDING ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS OF RAIN. FORTUNATELY...COOLER TEMPERATURES

DID NOT EXASPERATE THE DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ALTHOUGH DROUGHT

CONDITIONS DID DETERIORATE AREAWIDE...MORESO ACROSS THE SEVERE AND

EXTREME DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST

OKLAHOMA...AND ADJACENT SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS

HAVE ALSO DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND

NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA...WHERE ONLY TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN

IN THE LAST TWO MONTHS...WHICH HAS RESULTED ON DEPARTURES OF FOUR TO

NEARLY SEVEN INCHES BELOW NORMAL. NOVEMBER MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE

RANGED FROM A QUARTER INCH UP TO AN INCH ACROSS SOUTHEAST

OKLAHOMA...ADJACENT SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND

NORTH LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF TWO INCHES RECORDED.

THESE TOTALS RESULTED IN MONTHLY RAINFALL DEPARTURES WELL IN EXCESS

OF THREE TO OVER FOUR INCHES BELOW NORMAL. A NARROW CORRIDOR OF

RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WAS OBSERVED ALONG A NAPLES

AND NEW BOSTON TEXAS...TO ASHDOWN AND BLEVINS ARKANSAS LINE...BUT

THESE AMOUNTS STILL RESULTED IN ONE TO TWO INCH MONTHLY RAINFALL

DEPARTURES.

 

EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS MCCURTAIN

COUNTY OKLAHOMA AS WELL AS THE FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST

ARKANSAS...NORTH OF A DEQUEEN TO NASHVILLE LINE. SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT

CONDITIONS PERSIST IN A SMALL AREA SURROUNDING THE EXTREME DROUGHT

AREA ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...MAINLY

NORTH OF A BOXELDER AND DEKALB TEXAS...TO ASHDOWN AND BLEVINS

ARKANSAS LINE. MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE EXPANDED A

LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS AND A SMALL

PORTION OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH OF A QUITMAN...PITTSBURG...AND

LINDEN TEXAS...TO FOUKE AND HOPE ARKANSAS LINE. ANOTHER AREA OF

MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN

SECTIONS OF DEEP EAST TEXAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH OF A

ZAVALLA AND HEMPHILL TEXAS...TO FLORIEN...NATCHITOCHES...MONTGOMERY

AND JENA LOUISIANA LINE. D0 (ABNORMALLY DRY) CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE

ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA.

 

 

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

 

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.

LITTLE RAINFALL OBSERVED DURING NOVEMBER HAS RESULTED IN LAKE AND POND

LEVELS TO DROP...AND WINTER PASTURES STRUGGLED TO GROW UNDER THE

INCREASINGLY DRY CONDITIONS. PRODUCERS HAVE BEGUN TO FEED HAY AND

SUPPLEMENTS TO THEIR LIVESTOCK.

 

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.

NO BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT AT THIS TIME.

 

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.

AQUIFER LEVELS REMAIN ABNORMALLY LOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. CITIES IN

NORTHEAST TEXAS THAT REMAIN UNDER A VOLUNTARY OR A MILD RATIONING OF WATER

UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE INCLUDE: PITTSBURG...GLADEWATER...WHITE OAK...

MARSHALL...HALLSVILLE...TYLER...NACOGDOCHES...MELROSE...SAN AUGUSTINE...

CENTER...HEMPHILL...BULLARD...GILMER...HAWKINS...AND HUNTINGTON. OTHER

SMALLER WATER SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS ALSO REMAIN UNDER VOLUNTARY OR A

MILD RATIONING OF WATER UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.

 

 

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

 

BELOW IS A LIST OF THE 8+ MONTH RAINFALL TOTALS SINCE DROUGHT CONDITIONS

REDEVELOPED IN LATE APRIL...THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...AND THEIR

PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL...FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

 

CITY:           APRIL `12 - NOVEMBER `12     DEPARTURE       PERCENTAGE

                  (THROUGH 11/29/12)        FROM NORMAL       OF NORMAL

 

SHREVEPORT LA            31.33                -3.97             89%

 

SHREVEPORT LA            29.41                -6.56             82%

(SOUTH SHREVEPORT/SOUTHERN HILLS OFFICIAL COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

 

MONROE LA                32.04                -4.15             89%

 

NATCHITOCHES LA          26.13               -10.69             71%

 

TEXARKANA AR             16.51               -18.28             47%

 

EL DORADO AR             24.41               -11.19             69%

 

HOPE 3NE AR              24.85               -12.72             66%

 

PRESCOTT 2NNW AR         21.03               -14.70             59%

 

NASHVILLE AR             22.20               -14.83             60%

 

DEQUEEN AR               14.65               -21.14             41%

 

MOUNT PLEASANT TX        24.90                -7.16             78%

 

TYLER POUNDS FIELD TX    19.31               -13.25             59%

 

TYLER (CITY) TX          23.45                -8.88             73%

 

LONGVIEW TX              21.86               -11.14             66%

 

LUFKIN TX                21.33               -12.77             63%

 

 

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS...

MT. HERMAN               15.53               -21.52             42%

BROKEN BOW               20.84               -16.21             56%

IDABEL                   18.48               -20.36             48%

 

 

BELOW IS A LIST OF THE NOVEMBER MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTALS...THEIR

DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL...AND THEIR PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL...FOR SELECTED

LOCATIONS ACROSS THE REGION:

 

CITY:               NOVEMBER 2012         DEPARTURE       PERCENTAGE

                                         FROM NORMAL       OF NORMAL

 

SHREVEPORT LA           0.85               -3.52             19%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 12TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1874.

 

SHREVEPORT LA           0.91               -3.91             19%

(SOUTH SHREVEPORT/SOUTHERN HILLS OFFICIAL COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

 

MONROE LA               1.74               -2.91             37%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 7TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORDS. RECORDS SINCE 1930.

 

NATCHITOCHES LA         0.59               -4.53             12%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 5TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1922.

 

COLUMBIA LA             1.14               -3.94             22%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 5TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1941.

 

TEXARKANA AR            1.05               -3.58             23%

 

EL DORADO AR            1.66               -3.04             35%

 

HOPE 3NE AR             1.20               -3.72             24%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 9TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1915.

 

PRESCOTT 2NNW AR        1.20               -3.73             24%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY TIE AS THE 7TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD WITH NOVEMBER 1894 AND 1981. RECORDS SINCE 1890.

 

NASHVILLE AR            2.99               -1.64             65%

 

DEQUEEN AR              0.61               -4.16             13%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 4TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1936.

 

MOUNT PLEASANT TX       2.93               -1.12             72%

 

TYLER POUNDS FIELD TX   0.28               -3.68              7%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY TIE AS THE 3RD DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD WITH NOVEMBER 1899. RECORDS SINCE 1896.

 

TYLER (CITY) TX         0.91               -3.32             22%

 

LONGVIEW TX             0.78               -3.54             18%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 5TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1902.

 

LUFKIN TX               0.75               -4.09             15%

NOTE: NOVEMBER 2012 WILL LIKELY RANK AS THE 4TH DRIEST NOVEMBER ON

      RECORD. RECORDS SINCE 1906.

 

 

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS...

MT. HERMAN              0.67               -4.00             14%

BROKEN BOW              0.45               -4.22             10%

IDABEL                  0.54               -4.04             12%

 

 

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

 

MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE REGION THIS

WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS SOUTHERLY WINDS PERSIST ACROSS THE

SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO

INCREASE AS WELL...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES NOT FALLING MUCH BELOW 60 DEGREES

SUNDAY...MONDAY...AND TUESDAY MORNINGS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AS

WELL THROUGH MONDAY...BEFORE A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM DIGS SOUTHEAST

THROUGH THE PLAINS AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL DRIVE A

COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION TUESDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS STORM SYSTEM

COULD BRING WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL OF AT LEAST A QUARTER TO A HALF INCH

TUESDAY...BEFORE COOLER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT.

NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS APPEAR AS IF THEY WILL CONTINUE

AS WE END THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER. THIS RAINFALL MAY SLIGHTLY ALLEVIATE

THE ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS WHICH HAVE BEEN IN PLACE SINCE LATE OCTOBER...

BUT MODERATE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST

WEEK OF DECEMBER.

 

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER-JANUARY-FEBRUARY...

ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...INDICATES HIGHER

PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE ENTIRE REGION. THE

THREE MONTH PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK THROUGH FEBRUARY DOES INDICATE SLIGHTLY

ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR OBSERVING ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS

THE SEVERE AND EXTREME DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND

SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA...

EQUAL CHANCES FOR OBSERVING ABOVE NORMAL...NEAR NORMAL...OR BELOW

NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXIST...AS SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE EQUATORIAL

PACIFIC REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THIS WINTER...RESULTING IN VERY LITTLE SKILL IN

FORECASTING CERTAIN PRECIPITATION PATTERNS OVER THE AREA.

 

 

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

 

POOL STAGES AT VARIOUS LAKES AND RESERVOIRS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS REMAIN SOME SIX AND A HALF

TO IN EXCESS OF TWELVE FEET BELOW NORMAL...PARTICULARLY AT BROKEN BOW...

DEQUEEN...GILLHAM...AND WRIGHT PATMAN LAKES...AS WELL AS LAKE OF THE PINES.

LAKES AND RESERVOIRS FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE SULPHUR AND CYPRESS BASINS OF

NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA ARE FARING SLIGHTLY BETTER...WITH POOL

STAGES TWO TO FIVE FEET BELOW NORMAL. ADDITIONAL SLOW DETERIORATION IS

EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK AS RESERVOIR RELEASES CONTINUE

WITH LITTLE TO NO WETTING RAINFALL FORECAST.

 

 

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

 

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE DECEMBER.

 

Comments
(1)
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Humm!
|
December 07, 2012
Heck, WE'VE NEVER GOT OUT OF THE DROUGHT! IF YOU DON'T GET THE RAIN, THEN U CAN NOT MAKE UP FOR WHAT U DID NOT GET...

REALLY...