DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT - NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
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AXUS74 KSHV 101200

DGTSHV

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA

700 AM CDT MON SEP 10 2018

...RECENT RAINS HAVE RESULTED IN SLIGHTLY IMPROVED DROUGHT CONDITIONS

ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA, BUT EXTREME AND SEVERE

DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THESE AREAS...

SYNOPSIS...

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL THAT WERE OBSERVED

ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS, NORTH LOUISIANA, AND EXTREME SOUTHERN

ARKANSAS DURING AUGUST CONTINUED THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF SEPTEMBER,

BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS AFFECTED THE

REGION. SINCE THE FIRST OF SEPTEMBER, WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A

HALF INCH TO TWO INCHES, WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF THREE

INCHES, HAVE FALLEN ACROSS ALL OF THE ARK-LA-TEX, WITH THE HEAVIER

CONCENTRATIONS NOTED OVER DEEP EAST TEXAS AND WESTCENTRAL LOUISIANA.

THIS HAS RESULTED IN MINOR IMPROVEMENTS TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT

ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.

HOWEVER, EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS SOUTHERN MORRIS,

EASTERN CAMP, AND EASTERN UPSHUR COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS

SOUTHERN WEBSTER, SOUTHERN CLAIBORNE, AND NORTHERN BIENVILLE PARISHES IN

NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT CONDITIONS ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS

SOUTHERN FRANKLIN, SOUTHERN TITUS, NORTHERN MORRIS, CASS, MARION, HARRISON,

GREGG, WESTERN UPSHUR, WESTERN CAMP, WOOD, SMITH, SOUTHCENTRAL CHEROKEE,

AND NORTHERN RUSK COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS MUCH OF CADDO,

BOSSIER, NORTHERN WEBSTER, CLAIBORNE, BIENVILLE, WESTERN LINCOLN, AND

WESTERN UNION PARISHES IN NORTH LOUISIANA. MODERATE (D1) DROUGHT

CONDITIONS ALSO LINGER ACROSS MILLER, LAFAYETTE, COLUMBIA, AND UNION

COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, NORTHERN DESOTO, RED RIVER, NORTHERN

NATCHITOCHES, WESTERN JACKSON, LINCOLN, AND THE REMAINDER OF UNION

PARISHES IN NORTH LOUISIANA, AND ACROSS RED RIVER, BOWIE, NORTHERN

FRANKLIN, NORTHERN TITUS, SOUTHERN SMITH, MUCH OF CHEROKEE, RUSK, NORTHERN

NACOGDOCHES, AND NORTHERN PANOLA COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS. WHILE NOT IN

DROUGHT, ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS REMAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP

EAST TEXAS AND MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL

LOUISIANA.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.

SOIL MOISTURE REMAINS SHORT OR VERY SHORT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS

AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA. HOWEVER, SOME GREENUP HAS BEEN NOTED RECENTLY

IN WAKE OF SCATTERED RAINS RECEIVED SO FAR IN SEPTEMBER. MANY

NON-IRRIGATED GARDENS AND CROP PASTURES HAVE ALREADY BEEN LOST OR HAVE

PRODUCED SIGNIFICANTLY LOW YIELDS OF FRUITS AND VEGETABLES, AND SOME

SHALLOW ROOTED TREES CONTINUE TO DIE OR HAVE LOST A SIGNIFICANT NUMBER

OF LEAVES. IN ADDITION, PASTURE AND RANGELAND CONDITIONS REMAIN POOR TO

VERY POOR ACROSS THE HARDER DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS, WITH MANY HAY PRODUCERS

INDICATING BELOW NORMAL QUANTITY AND QUALITY OF HAY. IN FACT, SOME AREAS

HAVE BEEN ONLY ABLE TO MAKE ONE TO TWO CUTS OF HAY SO FAR THIS YEAR, IF

THAT. THIS HAS REQUIRED SOME PRODUCERS TO SEARCH FOR HAY FROM OTHER STATES,

OR EVEN BEGIN CULLING THEIR HERDS. SURFACE WATER HAS ALSO BEEN A PROBLEM

AS STOCK PONDS AND CREEKS WERE DRYING UP.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.

BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MORRIS, CAMP, MARION, HARRISON, PANOLA,

SHELBY, SAN AUGUSTINE, NACOGDOCHES, RUSK, GREGG, UPSHUR, WOOD, AND

CHEROKEE COUNTIES IN EAST TEXAS, AS WELL AS BOSSIER, WEBSTER, RED RIVER,

DESOTO, SABINE, NATCHITOCHES, BIENVILLE, AND JACKSON PARISHES IN NORTH

LOUISIANA. GIVEN THE RECENT RAINS, SOME OF THESE BURN BANS MAY BE DROPPED

IN THE NEAR FUTURE.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.

VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER

SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT

AT THIS TIME.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

MUCH NEEDED RAINFALL HAS FALLEN AREAWIDE SO FAR IN SEPTEMBER, WHICH HAS

SLIGHTLY ALLEVIATED DROUGHT CONDITIONS. BELOW IS A LIST OF THE

SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES

OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY: SEPTEMBER RAINFALL DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE

(THROUGH 9/9) FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA 2.25 IN. +1.39 IN. 261%

MONROE LA 1.62 IN. +0.55 IN. 151%

TEXARKANA AR 1.11 IN. +0.08 IN. 108%

EL DORADO AR 2.35 IN. +1.45 IN. 162%

DEQUEEN AR 0.31 IN. -0.74 IN. 30%

TYLER TX 1.31 IN. +0.22 IN. 120%

(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX 2.45 IN. +1.51 IN. 261%

(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX 0.81 IN. -0.14 IN. 85%

LUFKIN TX 1.82 IN. +0.57 IN. 146%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:

MT. HERMAN 1.22 IN. +0.13 IN. 112%

BROKEN BOW 0.83 IN. -0.26 IN. 76%

IDABEL 1.50 IN. +0.38 IN. 134%

LONG TERM RAINFALL DEFICITS (SINCE MAY) REMAIN QUITE LARGE THOUGH ACROSS

MUCH OF NORTHEAST TEXAS, EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS, AND NORTH LOUISIANA,

WHERE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE. BELOW IS A LIST OF

THE MAY-SEPTEMBER RAINFALL TOTALS, THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND

PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE

REGION:

CITY: MAY-SEPT RAINFALL DEPARTURE PERCENTAGE

(THROUGH 9/9) FROM NORMAL OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA 7.83 IN. -9.74 IN. 45%

MONROE LA 14.76 IN. -2.93 IN. 83%

NATCHITOCHES LA 11.54 IN. -7.08 IN. 62%

TEXARKANA AR 8.47 IN. -8.45 IN. 50%

EL DORADO AR 9.06 IN. -8.46 IN. 52%

HOPE 3NE AR 15.62 IN. -2.29 IN. 87%

DEQUEEN AR 11.32 IN. -5.75 IN. 66%

MT. PLEASANT TX 10.02 IN. -6.67 IN. 60%

TYLER TX 6.60 IN. -9.59 IN. 41%

(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX 10.27 IN. -5.64 IN. 65%

(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX 7.42 IN. -9.25 IN. 45%

MARSHALL TX 6.60 IN. -10.46 IN. 39%

LUFKIN TX 10.55 IN. -6.41 IN. 62%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:

MT. HERMAN 19.21 IN. +0.34 IN. 102%

BROKEN BOW 14.96 IN. -4.17 IN. 78%

IDABEL 10.75 IN. -6.95 IN. 61%

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES, COUPLED WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS, ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH AT LEAST

MIDWEEK, AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO IN EXCESS OF TWO

INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND NORTH

LOUISIANA GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20, WITH LIGHTER

AMOUNTS EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH ACROSS EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS,

SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO

BECOME MORE SPARSE BY LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH TEMPERATURES

RETURNING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE ADDITIONAL

RAIN THIS WEEK SHOULD HELP TO FURTHER ALLEVIATE SHORT TERM DROUGHT

CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA BEFORE

BECOMING MORE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED LATE THIS WEEK.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR SEPTEMBER-

OCTOBER-NOVEMBER, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC),

INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES

AREAWIDE. HOWEVER, THERE ARE EQUAL CHANCES (OR NO SKILL LEVEL) IN

DETERMINING WHETHER ABOVE NORMAL, NEAR NORMAL, OR BELOW NORMAL RAIN WILL

FALL OVER THE ARK-LA-TEX THROUGH NOVEMBER. THIS IS DUE TO THE FACT THAT

EL NINO CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC,

WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME INFLUENCE ON THE AREA WEATHER AS WE MOVE

FORWARD TO MID AND LATE FALL.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

LAKES AND RESERVOIRS ACROSS MUCH OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA REMAIN

SOME TWO TO THREE FEET BELOW NORMAL POOL STAGE, ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINS

HAVE ALLOWED FOR NEAR NORMAL STREAMFLOWS TO RETURN ACROSS THE CYPRESS,

UPPER AND MIDDLE SABINE BASINS. LITTLE CHANGE TO SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS ARE

EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MID-SEPTEMBER GIVEN THE RAINS THAT WILL FALL.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE SEPTEMBER.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SHV

NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU

TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC

OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV

UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV

TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU

LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/

TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU

ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG

OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE

LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS

AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE

CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT

MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED

FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...

USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...

ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION

STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE

5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.

SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669

EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD

 
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